After such a long time of people asking the Tibetan Leaders to state who is the real Karmapa, no answer has been forthcoming. Guess they dare not! After all, with either one, they will be in the wrong.
If they go with Karmapa Ogyen Trinley, he ran away and got himself a passport from Dominican Republic and stayed away from India for over a year. Indian government is seeking to persecute him for some alleged crimes and he received much publicity about his alleged affair with many girlfriends. He publically complained about his ordination from the Dalai Lama and his confined life.
As for Karmapa Thaye Dorje, well, he is giving the Tibetan Leaders the cold shoulder. And I don't blame him one bit. He was treated so shoddily back when he was young and Sharmapa requested for his recognition and ordination. So much respect given in the request when there was no need to the requests at all as Sharmapa himself has the authority to do either in lieu of the Karmapa. And in all these years, obstacles had always been created for Karmapa Thaye Dorje wherever he went, to put him down but it only made the fact of his attainment all the more as his enlightened activities grew in spite of all the ill intent. And now, Sharmapa has reincarnated as Karmapa Thaye Dorje's son.
So yeah, the Tibetan Leaders will not dare to declare this or that for they will be wrong themselves. Just as they had been wrong in many choices and decisions made that now are becoming apparent. Like the Chinese Panchen Lama as the real incarnate of the previous, the practice of enlightened protector Dorje Shugden, China's status in the world and even their own welcome in the world (we know that many countries are shunning them for the good relationship with China). Too bad, karma created is coming back to bite now.